Track Record

Live performance of active trading signals since Observatory launch on 2026-04-09.

1 OPEN Started 2026-04-09 Updated 2026-06-26 Not investment advice

Entry prices reflect the date each signal was added to the Observatory dashboard. All returns are price returns only, not total returns. ZC=F is the continuous front-month corn futures contract — price discontinuities at roll dates are expected.

Gold/Silver Ratio

LONG SILVER / SHORT GOLD

Entry 2026-04-09 78d open

GLD -14.97% $437.91 → $372.34

SLV -22.68% $68.39 → $52.88

Spread -7.71pp

SPY +7.18% α -14.89pp

Backtest expectation: +15.4% over 24m — -7.71% so far (78d in)

GSR=86.07 at entry (94th pct). Signal active since GSR crossed 80. Track record entry seeded at Observatory launch 2026-04-09.

Closed Positions

COT Corn — Commercial Extreme

LONG CORN

2026-04-08 → 2026-04-15 7d

ZC=F -0.11%

COT commercial z=−2.62 (extreme short). Contrarian buy signal. Signal was killed by battery before hypothesis could be tested over a meaningful horizon.

Kitchin Composite

LONG S&P 500

2026-04-06 → 2026-06-27 81d

SPY +10.59%

Score 2/2 BULLISH. Signal first identified internally ~Feb 2026 when S&P 500 was approximately 2–3% lower than the 2026-04-06 entry price. Track record entry seeded at Observatory dashboard addition date; this gap is intentional and disclosed.